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"I wouldn't use the BCS title game as the metric for how good a coach is" |
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Message Replied To ========== How long does it take a good coach to win big at a school? My gut feel is that good coaches tend to be large and in charge very quickly. I ran across this which overwhelmingly tends to suppot that idea: In the last 10 BCS championship games, here is how quickly the coach of each team got that team to their 1st BCS championship game: If the coach at your school is still struggling mightlly in year 3, the odds of there being some sudden blossoming of success after that are very low. ============================== I wouldn't even use National Championships. I wouldn't even necessarily use conference championships, depending on the conference. Urban Meyer was one blocked field goal from not playing Ohio State in 2008. You can't coach that kind of scenario. You can't plan it out. There is a lot of luck involved in the metric you are using. It's much easier to use the eye-ball test or trusting your abilities as a person who watches football; both are subjective, of course. I would rate Jim Harbaugh, for instance, as a college coach who got the most out of his squad. He made Stanford a contender. On the other hand, without Andrew Luck would he have gone 11-1 in his 4th year as their coach? I just think there are no set rules with these kinds of things. Muschamp has made our defense one of the best in the country. We're having another bad year on offense, but very few coaches in general are successful at BOTH offense and defense. In all cases, every coach needs breaks going their way. |
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