I don't think anyone on the R side gets more than 30%, I think Trump wins a squeaker over Cruz with Rubio a strong 3rd and Rand Paul 4th, Bush 5th, then the rest (notably Carson, who has really dropped).  I think Fiorina, Santorum, maybe Huckabee drop out, Carson SHOULD drop out but won't.  Most of the models give Trump a 45% chance to win Iowa, Cruz 40%, Rubio 15%, after that they're all single digits. 

I do think Hillary will beat Sanders, but as is being predicted, it's close...

Now what would be really interesting is if we had some kind of surprise, like a big victory for Sanders, which would be a serious bodyblow to Hillary.  Also, some have hinted at a 3rd place for Trump, with the thought being people won't actually vote for the guy when push comes to shove.  How would his camp handle that?

BBG

We're #badword#ed regardless